Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Wednesday Tips – October 30th

Leading horse racing consultant Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications, including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, as well as the GG.co.uk website. He discovers value betting using practical systems and statistics and shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew travels to Fakenham, Newton Abbot and Kempton (AW) on Wednesday October 30th for his three stats-based selections…

FAKENHAM 2.20

FANTASTIC FOURSOME (System – Nigel Twiston-Davies, October)

Over the last 20 years, Nigel Twiston-Davies has won with 274 of his 1326 runners (20.7% strike rate) in the month of October, making a profit of £116.49 on a £1 stake on SP. So far this month the score is 15 out of 55 (27.3%, +£6.28) and FANTASTIC FOURSOME Maybe he can keep the ball rolling in this novice handicap chase. The seven-year-old disappointed at Market Rasen in June when we last saw him, but is fresh into form, scoring on his debut at the circuit in May 2022 and returning after a two-month break to win a handicap in Perth last September -hurdle to overcome. Switching to tracking could be a good fit.

NEWTON ABBOT 2.30

MR GRAY SKY (System – Kim Bailey, returnee at the start of the off-season)

Kim Bailey has a good current record from October to December. His runners returned from a break of at least 150 days to earn £52.75 (expected winners = 20.55, A/E) on 32 of the 124 qualifiers since 2021. = 1.56). MR GRAY SKY has a good record in his first two runs each season, recording form of 113335111 (5-9) and the ten-year-old will appreciate the hard work when he turns up again in this 2m handicap chase .

KEMPTON 7.00

TOUCH THE MOON (System – George Scott, geldings with AW handicaps)

The in-form George Scott has a good record with geldings in all-weather handicaps, earning £26.93 (expected winners = 23.62, A/E =) on 35 of the 138 qualifiers (25.4% strike rate) since the start of 2022 1.48). TOUCH THE MOON has developed as if moving up to today’s two-run 1m4f would suit his current yard and can make a winning all-weather debut.

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